Bettors like to rely on historical data to formulate handicapping predictions. We want to know how a team has historically done on the road. How has a team performed as an underdog? How has a defense handled mobile quarterbacks? We take that historical data, mash it with some statistics, sprinkle in some analysis and voila! We have an opinion.
Needless to say, there isn’t much precedent for what Alabama has gone through this week. The Crimson Tide are getting ready for the SEC game of the year with Coach Saban on Zoom. He’s never missed a game in Tuscaloosa, so bettors are left guessing at what the implications of his potential absence will mean.
Alabama opened as a -6.5 home favorite over Georgia, but following the speculation that Coach Saban will miss the contest, the line has dropped to -4.5 with the over/under at 56.5 points.
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James Bunting is a former sports book manager and has written for a number of national outlets over the last decade, in addition to analyzing the odds for WagerTalk.